» Zulte Waregem – Charleroi | Uptrend : Downtrend
› Odds: 1.75 @ Mybet
› Zulte Waregem home: 3-1-2 12-8
› Zulte Waregem form: 4-1-1 14-7
› Home form: 3-1-2 12-8
› Charleroi away: 2-2-2 7-9
› Charleroi form: 1-2-3 8-13
› Away form: 2-2-2 7-9
› Trend @ Hometeam: Zulte Waregem is 3-1-0
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Zulte Waregem is 2-1-0
Waregem is a good team and is in a good form right now. They own a good record against Charleroi which is traditionally poor away. Homewin and a good odds.
» Flamengo – Santos | Uptrend : Downtrend
› Odds: 1.75 @ Bwin
› Flamengo home: 10-4-2 31-12
› Flamengo form: 4-1-1 10-6
› Home form: 5-0-1 14-3
› Santos away: 4-6-6 20-25
› Santos form: 1-3-2 6-8
› Away form: 1-2-3 5-8
› Trend @ Hometeam: Flamengo is 5-2-2
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Flamengo is 2-0-0
Flamengo has been very good at home taking 34 points and scoring 31 goals. Santos is decent away but the homeodds is to good to miss in my opinion.
» Excelsior – Fortuna Sittard | Uptrend : Downtrend
› Odds: 1.42 @ Canbet
› Excelsior home: 4-2-0 12-4
› Excelsior form: 4-1-1 11-6
› Home form: 4-2-0 12-4
› Fortuna Sittard away: 0-2-4 4-14
› Fortuna Sittard form: 1-1-4 6-14
› Away form: 0-2-4 4-14
› Trend @ Hometeam: Excelsior is 3-1-0
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Excelsior is 1-0-0
Typical homewin in the Dutch Jupiler League with a decent homeodds aswell. Fortuna is not a good awayteam and should struggle here aswell.
» Rapid Wien – Ried | Uptrend : Neutral
› Odds: 1.47 @ 10Bet
› Rapid Wien home: 4-1-0 18-5
› Rapid Wien form: 5-0-1 15-3
› Home form: 4-1-1 20-8
› Ried away: 1-4-2 6-9
› Ried form: 3-3-0 15-6
› Away form: 0-4-2 5-9
› Trend @ Hometeam: Rapid Wien is 17-7-0
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Rapid Wien is 4-1-0
One of my favourite games this weekend. Rapid is looking great here and despite the low odds, this looks like a banker candidate.
» Hereford – Darlington | Uptrend : Neutral
› Odds: 1.91 @ Nordicbet
› Hereford home: 3-3-1 10-8
› Hereford form: 2-2-2 6-8
› Home form: 3-2-1 9-7
› Darlington away: 0-1-6 3-15
› Darlington form: 1-1-4 3-10
› Away form: 0-1-5 2-12
› Trend @ Hometeam: Neither team is favoured based on history.
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Hereford is 1-0-0
Should Hereford really be almost even money? No way with Darlington on the other half. They are really bad away and Hereford should take 3 points.
» Club Brugge – Sint Truiden | Uptrend : Downtrend
› Odds: 1.29 @ Canbet
› Club Brugge home: 4-2-0 13-6
› Club Brugge form: 5-1-0 16-7
› Home form: 4-2-0 13-6
› Sint Truiden away: 3-1-2 8-7
› Sint Truiden form: 1-0-5 6-12
› Away form: 3-1-2 8-7
› Trend @ Hometeam: Club Brugge is 12-1-0
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Club Brugge is 2-0-0
Shouldn’t be much doubt here. The odds is a bit low as Sint Truiden is decent away, but the H2H says it all.
» TOP Oss – Emmen | Uptrend : Neutral
› Odds: 1.75 @ 5Dimes
› TOP Oss home: 3-1-2 7-8
› TOP Oss form: 3-1-2 10-9
› Home form: 3-1-2 7-8
› Emmen away: 0-1-5 2-21
› Emmen form: 2-0-4 9-21
› Away form: 0-1-5 2-21
› Trend @ Hometeam: Emmen is 7-1-5
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: TOP Oss is 2-1-0
Should be a good chance for the homewin here. Considering Emmens poor awayrecord I’m surpriced to see such a fruity homeodds.
Aston Villa – Manchester City is the game of the day. With Liverpool losing for a third time this season, both teams have an opportunity to strengthen their UEFA Champions League credentials. In-form City could climb into third spot with a victory at Villa Park while Martin O’Neill’s side is three points behind fourth-placed Arsenal. Villa’s 4-2 over City last season ended a run of five successive league matches without a home win over City, who have only failed to score once in their last 10 visits to the Midlands club. PreMatches is giving City a 42% chance of winning and Pinnacle is offering 2.72 for the awaywin. Worth a shot perhaps?
Today’s homewin comes from the Norwegian 2nd Division – 3. Fredrikstad Amateur welcomes bottom club Drammen. Fredrikstad is 4-2-5 at home while Drammen is 0-2-9 away. The reversed fixture ended with a 1-1 draw. Centrebet is offering 1.73 and that is way to much for the homewin.
The awaywin can also be found in the Norwegian 2nd Division. Rosenborg 2 visits Ullern in Oslo and should be able to take home 3 points. Ullern has lost all their last 10 matches and have only scored 3 goals, conceded 32 goals. I’m taking Rosenborg 2 for 1.54 at 10Bet.
Osters vs Skovde is the top over 2.5 winner today. PreMatches has it listed as 87% over and an expected score of 3.35. Osters is 6-5 over at home, scoring 1.91, conceding 1.09. 8 of their last 10 are over, averaging 3.30 goals. Skovde is 8-3 over away, scoring 1.73, conceding 2.00. 7 of their last 10 are over, averaging 3.30 goals. All 3 previous H2H are over. 1.60 is great odds from Nordicbet and many others.
The under comes from the Gambrinus Liga in the Czech Republic. City-derby between Slavia and Sparta. Slavia is 1-3 under at home, scoring 2.50, conceding 0.75. 6 of their last 10 are under, averaging 2.50 goals. Sparta is 4-0 under away, scoring 0.75, conceding 0.75. 9 of their last 10 are under, averaging just 1.60 goals. 6 of their last 7 games at Slavia has ended under, averaging 1.86 goals. 1.75 from Bwin looks decent.
Good luck today!
Tons of matches all around the globe today but at 17:00 CET all eyes will be on London and the major encounter in the Premier Leage title race, Chelsea vs Liverpool. Having lost twice already this season, Liverpool travel south with less margin for error than their hosts and with morale dampened by the poor display that led to a 2-0 defeat at Fiorentina in midweek. Ancelotti, who only speaks Italian to his squad when he is angry, has had to call on his mother tongue twice in the last week. The former AC Milan coach was almost as unimpressed by a laboured 1-0 victory at Apoel Nicosia in midweek as he was by last Saturday’s 3-1 defeat at Wigan, which ended his perfect start to life in London. Both clubs have been involved in many high scoring games this season, Chelsea is 6-1 overall while Liverpool is 7-0. Summary the last 3 years shows 5-0 under 2.5 so it’s going to be an interesting game. Looking at the odds movements lately it seems like most people are taking Chelsea while the total betting is all over the place. Basically, wait until game time if you are going to take Liverpool or fade Chelsea. I’m riding the over 2.5 as the simulator is giving the over a 49% chance and they broke the long string of unders during the CL fights this spring. 2.15 from Nordicbet if you held me at gunpoint.
Todays homewin comes from the Norwegian Tippeligaen. Stabaek hosts deep troubled Fredrikstad. They have hired Tom Nordlie to save the club from relegation but is technical bankrupt. 3 important points where won last Saturday after a late goal winner against Lillestrom. Stabaek enjoys a 3rd spot and can with a win here grab the second spot after Molde lost light night. I’m sure that’s a huge inspiration. They are 8-3-2 at home while Fredrikstad is hopeless away with 1-3-9. Fredrikstad is 0-7 when playing good teams like Stabaek this season and I see that trend continuing. Stabaek is also 4-0-1 the past 3 years H2H. PreMatches is giving them a 75% chance of winning and 1.50 from a range of bookmakers like Nordicbet is worth a shot.
The awaywin of the day comes from the Portugese Liga BetandWin. Porto visits Olhanense and they really need to get their campaign going trailing Braga with 5 points and more importantly Benfica. Olhanense is a newcomer and have faired well so far. However, their last 2 matches are lost and that is a typical sign from new coming teams, opening decent and fading them after 6-7 rounds can be a profitable. Porto is only 1-1-1 away so far but are 15-4 against poor offensive teams like Olhanense the past 3 years. PreMatches is giving Porto a 74% chance of winning and I’m taking 1.50 from Nordicbet again.
Regionalliga Nord in Germany is today’s top over 2.5. The amateurs of Hansa Rostock is playing Babelsberg. Not much news to find from their squads but the stats are looking good. Hansa is 4-0 over at home, scoring 1.00, conceding 2.50. Babelsberg is 4-0 over away, scoring 3.00, conceding 1.00. The PreMatches expected score is 3.96 so the over 2.5 seems like the obvious choice. Bet365 is offering 1.67 and that looks really good.
Boulogne vs Lille is the under 2.5 of the day. They play in the French Ligue 1 and are both off to a slow start with a 14th and 17th spot. The PreMatches expected score is 1.75 giving the under a 65% chance. The simulator is giving it a 82% chance so the reality is prob around 74%. Boulogne is 9-2 under after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. Lille is 12-3 under playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. Boulogne is 2-1 under at home so far, scoring 0.67, conceding 1.00. 7 of their last 10 overall are under, averaging 1.80 goals. Lille is 2-1 under away, scoring just 0.33, conceding 1.67. 7 of their last 10 are under, averaging 2.20 goals. 1.62 from Bwin seems like the a good choice.
Good luck today!
Most of the European and American leagues are in action today and there are lots of betting opportuneties. Will Barcelona clean the floor with Almeria in the Spanish Primera Division? Most people seemes to think like that and the bookmakers aren’t offering more than 1.10 to 1.15 for the homewin. PreMatches is only giving Barca a 73% chance for a win but I’d hate to be an Almeria player tonight.
Todays top homewin comes from the Serbian Super Liga. Jagodina welcomes bottom club Cukaricki at 15:30 and even though the odds is just 1.58 at Nordicbet it still seemes to be pure value. Jagodina is 2-0-1 at home and Cukaricki has just grabbet one point at home in their first 6 matches. Jagodina has beaten 8th placed Javor Ivanjica and 6th placed Mladi Radnik at home and should have no problems with Cukaricki.
The top suggested awaywin comes from the English League One. Former Wimbledon club, Milton Keynes visits the southcoast team Brighton and PreMatches is giving them a 70% chance of winning. That sounds to high to me but the stats and trends are looking good. Brighton is just 1-0-3 at home and have 9 points in 9 matches so far. Milton Keynes is 3-1-1 away so far with 17 points overall. They are extremly good against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons winning 18 of 22 matches. Brighton on the other hand have lost 9 of 15 against good teams like MK. H2H is showing a MK dominance as they have won all 4 previous games with a goalscore of 10-4. The game is off at 16:00 CET today and 2.45 from Betsson is looking sweet while others might prefer DNB which is paying 1.76 with Ladbrokes/10Bet.
If you are looking for an good over bet today PreMatches suggests Varde vs Hobro in the Danish 2nd Division West. This is round 9 and Varde is 14th while Hobro is 7th. Varde is 4-0 over at home, scoring 2.00, conceding 2.00. 7 of their last 10 are over, averaging 3.20 goals. Hobro is 3-1 over away, scoring 1.75, conceding 2.75. 7 of their last 10 are over, averaging 4.10 goals. H2H is showing 7-1 over 2.5, averaging 3.88 goals. The PreMatches expected score for this game is 4.29. 1.45 from Nordicbet looks decent to me. Kickoff is at 15:00 CET.
Todays under 2.5 comes from Portugese Liga BetandWin. Naval 1 Maio welcomes Rio Ave and even though this is only round 7 the teams have shown that they like the under. The PreMatches expected score is just 1.58 goals. Naval is 2-1 under at home, scoring 0.33, conceding 1.33. Rio Ave is 3-0 under away and 6-0 under overall. They have scored 0.67 and conceded 0.67. 9 of their last 10 matches overall are under, averaging just 1.20 goals. If I also add that all 4 H2H matches are under averaging just 1.25 goals, the 1.50 from Bwin is decent odds. Game is starting at 18:00 CET tonight.
Good luck today!
